Cotton on to this exports idea March 2018 issue

Cotton on to this exports idea

India is the second-largest exporter of cotton in the world. Interestingly, it is also one of the largest importers of the product. An anomaly, you may think. But there are a multitude of reasons to explain this. The growth of the textile industry and the demand for extra long staple cotton has resulted in a massive increase in imports. In fact, implementation of GST is further expected to give its imports a boost. The Dollar Business investigates if now is a good time to start importing cotton.

By ANDRES M. MOLIER | August 2017 Issue | The Dollar Business


India, we all know is a major global player when it comes to textiles and apparels, especially those made of cotton. To put matters into perspective, in FY2017 alone, India’s exports of cotton and textiles & clothing clocked $6.63 billion and $36.66 billion, respectively. We also know that India is a major producer of cotton. What many of us may not know though is that India's textiles and apparel industry is highly import dependent. Of course, the usual reason applies – we consume more than we produce. But then, there's is another angle to it and that is India cannot grow a few varieties of cotton – especially a variety that is known as extra-long staple (ELS) cotton or ‘extra-ordinary cotton’.

And what is ELS cotton? It is an extra-fine cotton that is used for making superior cotton fabrics. In fact, it’s quite easy to identify ELS-made fabrics in the market because they look more white, smooth, strong and above all are expensive than others. But, other than ELS cotton, India also imports all other staple lengths of cotton. In fact, in FY2017, India’s total imports of cotton (of all staple length, combed or uncombed) witnessed a y-o-y jump of 142%. And, this indicates that importing cotton is a big business!

A seasonal affair

“India is the second-largest producer of cotton in the world. But, we must also understand that India is also the second-largest exporter of cotton in the world and our domestic consumption is also one of the largest,” explains G. Rathakrishna, Director of Coimbatore-based Shree MTK Textiles Private Limited. Rathakrishna continues, “Irrespective of our production, in the first half of each Market Year (MY), which is from November to March, India exports so much of cotton that there is not enough cotton to feed the domestic mills. So, in the second half, which is from May to September, we depend on imports to feed our mills.”

Sanjeev Kumar Mittal, Managing Director, Raghunath Agrotech Pvt. Ltd., agrees, “I have noticed that over the last few years, the export movement is high during the first half and slows during the second half.”

The trend is likely to continue as exporters know that the government is unlikely to impose a ban or limit on exports – and with production of textiles on the rise imports are destined to grow.

Cotton on to this exports ideaA giant leap

Over the last few years though the business of cotton imports has witnessed many ups and down, overall it has shown an upward trend. In fact, in FY2017, cotton imports leaped to $939.85 million – from $388.51 million in FY2016. Explaining the situation, Mekala Mallappan Chockalingam, Chairman & Managing Director, The Cotton Corporation of India Ltd., says, “Every year, our production exceeds the target amount. But in MY2017, production was not up to the mark. Our expectation was around 360 lakh bale whereas the harvest was only around 351 lakh bale. However, the main reason for growth in imports is because imported cotton can be at times cheaper, and there are some varieties that have huge demand in the Indian market like ELS that we hardly grow.”

Shashidhar Stalekar, Vice President – Cotton Division of Mumbai-based Sagar Group of Enterprises, echoes a similar opinion. “Last year, the yield was low. As a result, the prices of cotton went up in the domestic market, which naturally resulted in more imports,” he elucidates. But is the demand here to stay? Stalekar, and many other importers, believe that the imports will decline in FY2018 on the back of higher domestic production, but the dependency on imports will continue. Stalekar explains, “Demand for short and long stable cotton will drop. But, I am certain that the year-on-year demand for ELS will keep increasing.”

Extra-long niche

The world over, various types of cotton are cultivated. And, for any trader, the profits depends on the length of the cotton staple that they trade in. “There are three major types of cotton, short (up to 1-1/8-inch), long (between 1-1/8 and 1-1/4-inch) and extra-long staple (between 1-3/8-inch and 2 inches). The longer the fibre, the more durable and softer it is. This also means more profits for traders,” explains Chockalingam.

India imports all three types of cotton, but the demand is mostly for ELS. Chockalingam continues, “The scope for short and long staple cotton in India is low because India is one of the largest producers of these cotton staples. What India needs is ELS. As per our annual survey, India’s current requirement for ELS cotton is over 12 lakh bale, whereas our domestic production is less than 4 lakh bale per annum. So, I see a lot of opportunities in this space, especially when the textile industry is looking to grow.”

A drop in the ocean

History tells us that since the usage of cotton started, the short staple cotton variety has been the most used. But, once the long staple cotton was introduced it completely revolutionised the textile industry. However, in the 1990s, an even better variety of cotton, the extra long staple gained currency due to its superior quality and became the darling of the textile and apparel industry.

"India produces 4 lakh bale of ELS cotton against an annual demand 12 lakh bale"

Farmers in India soon began cultivating ELS, only to realise that the Indian climate isn’t suitable for ELS. Mittal says, “Indian soil and climate isn’t good for ELS cultivation. There are only some areas where ELS can be grown, and it has been reported that the geographic area under ELS cultivation has been shrinking over the years.”


Further, farmers too shy from growing ELS because of the duration it takes to mature. According to experts, it takes around 95 days to harvest short and long staple cotton, whereas ELS takes over 130 days to mature and the yield is comparable or less than other cotton types. “Farmers have started to look at ELS as a non-profitable crop. Thus, the year-on-year production of ELS is rapidly dropping in India,” affirms Chockalingam.

Concurring to the statements, a recent report submitted by USDA Foreign Agricultural Services explains that ELS production in India has been on a continuous decline since MY2012. It states that farmers prefer growing hybrid medium and long staple cotton because of better results. Records also reveal that India’s current production of ELS is only 1% of the total domestic production, while ESL consumption has been growing rapidly.

A new opportunity

That said, be it short and long cotton or ELS cotton, India will continue to import. And, going forward, what looks exciting are the opportunities that Goods and Services Tax (GST) has opened for new and small traders. Cotton imports are duty free. “Earlier, importers could store cotton in bonded warehouses up to 30 days without paying customs duty,” shares Mittal. And owing to frequent fluctuations in price, there were times when importers had to sell cotton at narrow margins to avoid crossing the 30-day limit. This gave a big advantage to large traders as they could afford to work on narrow or no margins, which a small trader would find difficult to do. But now, irrespective of the origin of cotton, all cottons attract a 5% GST, thus levelling the playing field. Rathakrishna explains, “Only big companies could trade cotton because it used to be a time-bound business and attracted indirect tax complications. Now, we have a 5% GST, but importers can adjust this tax against their output tax in the chain upward. And that way, they don’t lose any money while buying. The opportunity is now huge.”

Cotton on to this exports idea

Agrees Mittal, “GST will open many new opportunities, especially for budding and small traders. Importers can now think of stocking cotton, provided there is an opportunity.” Importers though have lost an advantage over domestic traders who earlier paid a Central Sales Tax (CST) of 2% that imports of cotton were not subject to.

The right time

While the 2% advantage has been erased, importers still enjoy an effective zero rate of duty. And the best part is that unlike other sectors, there is neither logistical nor infrastructural problems. The only thing that an importer needs to be careful about is the purchasing price of the commodity in international market as domestic consumers are price sensitive.

Cotton on to this exports idea

US Foreign Agricultural Services reports that ELS production in India has been on a continuous decline. 


Nevertheless, the fact of the matter is that cultivation of ELS cotton in India is on a continuous decline – while consumption is on the rise. Further, not to say, the special package of Rs.6,000 crore, which was announced last year, for the textile and apparel sector is bound to give a fillip to cotton consumption.

Well, all these facts point in just one direction – importing cotton seems to be an idea whose time has come!


   "GST will give a boost to small traders”

 Cotton on to this exports idea

                                                                        

G. Rathakrishna
Director,
Shree MTK Textiles Pvt. Ltd.

 

TDB: Why does India import cotton despite being the 2nd largest producer? 


G. Rathakrishna (GR): India is the second-largest producer in the world, but we must also understand that India is also the second-largest exporter of cotton in the world and our domestic consumption is very high too. What happens is that, in the first half of each market year, which is from November to March, India exports so much of cotton that there isn’t enough cotton to feed the domestic mills. So, in the second half, which is from May to September, we depend on imports.

TDB: What type of cotton does India import and what are our major sourcing countries?

GR: We import all three staples of cotton; short, long and extra-long staple (ELS) cotton. But, we mostly import long and ELS. Currently, US, Egypt and Spain are our largest sourcing destinations.

TDB: Is it true that India’s production of ELS is slowly declining?

GR: Yes, it's sad, but very true. Farmers are quickly shifting from growing ELS to medium and long cotton. The reason is because the usual cotton staples, short and long, take about 95 days to mature while ELS takes more than 125 days.

TDB: Cotton trading is ruled by large companies. Is there any scope for small and medium players?

GR: Under the new tax regime, Goods & Services Tax (GST), everyone will have to pay a refundable 5% GST. So, anybody can now import cotton, store and sell it. Also, one can now adjust the import credit against their output tax in the chain upward, and that way they don’t lose any money while buying. This will greatly increase the volume of business for the small traders. Also, at the moment, the maximum hold-time of a container is 30 days. But we are pushing the government to increase the hold-time 90 days, which I believe will become a reality in a month or so.

TDB: And why couldn’t smaller traders get into the business earlier?

GR: Companies like Cargill, Ecom and Barnhardt Cotton are the largest cotton traders in the world. But of late, some Indian companies such as Raghunath Cotton and Dharmdeep Cotton have started trading cotton. The business was favourable only for the bigger companies because of the many complications in the tax structure. The government levies tax if the cotton isn’t sold within 30 days. Bigger companies can afford to sometimes sell on or below the purchasing price to avoid this tax but smaller companies couldn’t afford to do that. But now with the implementation of GST the playing field has been levelled.

TDB: Are there any imports-related challenges one must be aware of?

GR: So far, the trade is free from all obstacles. There is no import duty and there is no logistical or infrastructural challenge. The only thing that one needs to be careful is the purchasing price in the international market. Lest we forget, India is a price-sensitive market.

 

 

   "Domestic consumption is rising steadily"


Cotton on to this exports idea


Sanjeev Kumar Mittal
Managing Director,
Raghunath Agrotech Pvt. Ltd.

 

TDB: What drove India's demand for imported cotton in FY2017?

Sanjeev Kumar Mittal (SKM): We have been in the business for over 50 years now and have noticed that when there is an opportunity, everyone jumps into it – which is what happened last year because domestic production dropped while consumption went up. Also, when demonetisation was announced in November, the cotton season had just started in India and it had a negative impact triggering the increase in price. And, since our production fluctuates a lot, we depend on imported cotton. However, no one can assure that this pattern will continue in the future.

TDB: Is it true that India exports a lot of cotton in the first half of the year?

SKM: In a way, yes. We have been noticing that over the last few years, the export movement is high during the first half and slows down during the second half. What happens is that Indian cotton is one of the cheapest in terms of price – especially during the first half of the market year. Thus, buyers from China, Bangladesh, Vietnam, etc., our largest buyers, rush to India.

TDB: How has GST changed the business for cotton importers?

SKM: GST has a negative impact on importers. Before GST, there was no tax on importers, but now, we have to pay a refundable 5% GST. This has put importers at a disadvantage. Earlier, millers used to pay a non-refundable 2% Central Sales Tax (CST) while buying domestic cotton from another state. So, imported cotton had a 2% advantage over domestic cotton. But now everyone will have to pay a refundable 5% GST

However, I believe, GST will also open many new opportunities for cotton traders. Prior to GST, imported cotton was tax free for 30 days as long as the cotton was stored within a bonded warehouse. But now, importers will have to pay 5% GST irrespective of where the cotton is stored. So, even smaller importers can now think about stocking, provided there is an opportunity. Earlier, trading cotton attracted only the big players because it was a time-bound business and it attracted many indirect taxes. Now, all that is required is to keep an eye on the market, both domestic and international, and analyse what will score better in terms of profits – exports or imports –and then embark on the trade.

TDB: Do you think the special package of Rs.6,000 crore to the textile and apparel industry will propel the demand for cotton?

SKM: The special incentive will definitely boost the textile sector in the short and medium term. If our products are becoming competitive in the global market, it will certainly have a direct impact on cotton consumption too. And, over the months, we have seen that consumption of cotton in India has gone up, which is a positive trend. Currently, our margin is around 2%. Perhaps, who knows, the margin may also increase simultaneously with demand.



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